Climate change could increase armed conflicts in Africa: study – KION546

By Mitchell Consky

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June 25, 2022 (CTV Network) — A new study suggests that climate change could increase the likelihood and duration of armed conflict in all regions of Africa. Led by the INGENIO Institute, a team of researchers from international universities, the study assessed data from 1990 to 2016, identifying a potential correlation between extreme weather events and violence in African communities, taking into account the characteristics socio-economic and statistical weather models. Its findings, published in the latest issue of the journal Economia Politica, indicate that increased temperature and prolonged rainfall – two environmental phenomena linked to climate change – increase the likelihood of conflict in populations four to five times up to a radius of 550 km. “The results we obtained have profound implications for territorial policies on the African continent,” said Davide Consoli, one of the INGENIO Institute researchers, in a press release. “For example, changes in climatic conditions influence the likelihood of conflicts over large areas, which means that the design of climate adaptation policies must take into account the particularities of each territory.” As increased droughts and storms have led to rampant food shortages across the continent, Consoli and fellow INGENIO researchers have called for the implementation of peacekeeping measures in areas most at risk armed conflicts. “These measures are essential in the design and implementation of adaptation strategies for climate resilience,” he said in the press release.

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Teresa H. Sadler